French would win in vanilla DM game. The reason is because french overall has the strongest military. Since good DM players usually play the ranged military game, the french will beat the spanish since the spanish are weak in ranged military. The good spanish player would have to completely adjust to ranged military to counter effectively.
But it is not because french have great cavs that they would win, they actually do have great cavs probably the best. But try send a bunch of expensive gendarmes into a larger bunch of cheap pikeman. :-)
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